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Monday, 20 March 2017

Probit and Logit Model

A Tobit regression is very similar to a probit regression (hence the name, originally Tobin's probit).

In the Probit Model we hypothesize y being a Gaussian variable with mean


E(y)=xi
E(y)=xi


β and a variance conventionally fixed to 1 as an identification constraint. All we observe in the probit model is the signs and make use of the standard Gaussian function to define probabilities for the Bernoulli likelihood. 
In a   Tobit Model, we observe actual values of y above some threshold (conventionally 0) but only observe that a case is below the threshold, without seeing its magnitude. The likelihood is a censored Gaussian, which has a Bernoulli part for the censoring and a modified Gaussian for the rest. These models have very similar math, though the probit model is less sensitive to the distributional specification than the tobit model, where you observe part of the actual variable.


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